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Times/Siena poll: Trump leads Biden in 5 out of 6 battleground swing states

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According to new polls by The New York Times and Siena College  former President Donald Trump is leading current President Joe Biden in five out of 6 of the most important battleground swing states. Specifically, the poll shows Biden losing to Trump by large margins between four to ten percentage points, among voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania. The sixth swing state Biden appears to be ahead in is Wisconsin, and that is only by two percentage points.

“Add it all together”, and Mr. Trump leads by 10 points in Nevada, six in Georgia, five in Arizona, five in Michigan and four in Pennsylvania.

The results are devastating to the Democratic Party because all six of the battleground states were ultimately won by Biden in the 2020 election. The polls show a majority of voters believe Biden’s policies have personally hurt them. Part of the issue for Biden’s lowering numbers is in part due to the demographic groups that widely supported Biden in 2020.

Voters under 30 years old favor Biden only by a single percentage point. His lead among Hispanic voters has dwindled down to single digits. The New York Times reports that Black voters “long a bulwark for Democrats and for Mr. Biden – are now registering 22 percent support in these states for Mr. Trump, a level unseen in presidential politics for a Republican in modern times.”

“In a remarkable sign of a gradual racial realignment between the two parties, the more diverse the swing state, the farther Mr. Biden was behind, and he led only in the whitest of the six” writes the Times.

59 percent to 37 percent of voters said they better trusted Mr. Trump over Mr. Biden on the economy, the largest gap of any issue. Trump won on economic issues among both men and women, those with college degrees and those without them, every age range and every income level.

Biden turns 81 later this month, and is the oldest president in American history. An overwhelming 71 percent said he was “too old” to be an effective president, including 54 percent of Biden’s own supporters. Only 19 percent of supporters of Trump, who is 77, viewed him as too old, and 39 percent of the electorate overall.

The Times quotes voters to give insight into the logic of voters. “I actually had high hopes for Biden,” said Jahmerry Henry, a 25-year-old who packages liquor in Albany, Ga. “You can’t be worse than Trump. But then as the years go by, things happen with inflation, the war going on in Ukraine, recently Israel and I guess our borders are not secure at all.” Henry now plans to vote for Trump if those are the two 2024 options.

“The world is falling apart under Biden,” said Spencer Weiss, a 53-year-old electrical substation specialist in Bloomsburg, Pa., who supported Mr. Biden in 2020 but is now backing Mr. Trump, albeit with some reservations. “I would much rather see somebody that I feel can be a positive role-model leader for the country. But at least I think Trump has his wits about him.”

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Elections

DOJ says FBI informant on Biden had ‘high-level’ contacts with Russian intelligence

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In a memorandum filed with the U.S. District Court for the District of Nevada to support Alexander Smirnov’s continued pre-trial detention, the Department of Justice(DOJ) wrote that he claimed to have had “contacts with multiple foreign intelligence agencies…[who] could resettle Smirnov outside the United States if he were released.”

Smirnov, a dual citizen of the United States and Israel, was arrested and charged on Feb. 14 with making false statements to the FBI about Biden’s connections to the Ukrainian energy company Burisma Holdings Limited, which employed his son Hunter Biden as a member of the board with a monthly salary of $50,000 during his term as vice president.

“During his custodial interview on February 14, Smirnov admitted that officials associated with Russian intelligence were involved in passing a story about [Hunter Biden],” wrote special counsel David Weiss in the filing. “Smirnov apparently attended a separate meeting with Russian Official 1, [an] individual who controls groups that are engaged in overseas assassination efforts.”

The Daily Caller News Foundation reports that Smirnov was a confidential human source who provided information that was used to prepare a report, known as an FD-1023, about Joe Biden’s alleged connections to the Burisma business partners of Hunter Biden. That report has previously served as evidence contradictingJoe Biden’s claim that he knew nothing of his son’s business dealings; a notion at the center of an impeachment inquiry against him.

The FD-1023 detailing Smirnov’s claims was released by Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley of Iowa on July 20, 2023, after it was provided to him by government whistleblowers. “[The] indictment confirms several points Senator Grassley has made repeatedly. The informant behind the FD-1023 was, indeed, a long-serving, trusted FBI source used by the agency for criminal investigations since the Obama administration. In fact, he was so trusted that the FBI provided him authorization ‘to engage in illegal activity for investigative purposes’,” a spokesperson for Grassley told the Daily Caller News Foundation.

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