New data from the Institute of Politics and Public Service shows public support for Democrats in congressional races is far less than support behind the presumptive nominee Joe Biden‘s presidential race.
The numbers show support for Biden is high — despite 59 percent of voters thinking it is unlikely Biden will finish a four-year term in the White House. But in down-the-ballot races, it’s not looking good for Democrats.
According to the report’s release, “Democrats see a 9-point drop in support between Biden and the generic Congressional Democrat among white suburban women, a 6-point drop among independents, and a 5-point drop with college graduates.”
While it may not ring good news for the Trump campaign, local congressional races should see this as potentially election-changing results.
Republicans also have higher support in crucial voting blocks like rural voters (57 percent), white seniors (53 percent), and voters with some college education (50 percent), according to the data.
While this poll suggests Biden is soaring past Trump in national polls — which notably didn’t matter in 2016 since the electoral college does not need national support — the Republican platform in general is more popular.
The generic Congressional ballot results show Republican support at 44 percent — with Democrats sitting at 50 percent.
This is much smaller than the Biden/Trump numbers, specifically on different issues like the COVID-19 response where Biden leads Trump by 22 percent in voter’s approval.
Therefore, November may see many congressional elections go in President Trump’s favor but the presidential ballot still remains uncertain.
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Biden’s Poor Polling and Harris’ Low Electability Rating Could Have Democrats Considering ‘Nuclear Option’
Behind-the-scenes discussion of how Democrats could arrive at a third option for the next election is underway
With polls consistently showing a poor approval rating for President Joe Biden at below 40 percent, and a recent poll put Kamala Harris’ electability at only 28 percent, Democrats are in full panic mode.
“Behind-the-scenes discussion of how Democrats could arrive at a third option for the next election is underway. Operatives are preparing for the possibility of a contested presidential primary in which other would-be nominees take on Ms. Harris, but that could be damaging for the party” reports the Telegraph.
Therefore, Democrats are allegedly whispering about a potential “nuclear option” that would call for current Vice President Harris to be nominated to the Supreme Court. The Telegraph writes that “while the scenario is highly improbable, and perhaps a reflection of a Washington rumor mill in overdrive, the fact it has come up at all shows the depths of the predicament the Biden administration currently finds itself in, amid rising inflation, a stalled domestic agenda, and foreign policy disasters.”
The theory in question would call for President Biden to nominate Harris to the Supreme Court in the event a seat opens in the next three years during his administration. Biden could then use “Section 2 of the 25thAmendment to nominate a more popular vice president”, adds the Telegraph.
Under Section 1 of the 25th Amendment, that new vice president could assume the presidency if Biden were to step down while president. They would then become the Democratic nominee in the 2024 presidential election. That same individual could also be the presumptive Democratic nominee in 2024 if Biden chooses not to run for re-election.
One piece of information that is wetting Democrats’ whistle is that current Supreme Court Justice Breyer has said he does not “want to stay on the Supreme Court until I die.”
The Telegraph notes that “the discussion over potential successors to Mr. Biden is highly unusual less than a year into an administration.”
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