Post-debate poll: Trump leads Biden by three points in Pennsylvania
According to a new post-debate poll released by the conservative organization American Greatness, incumbent President Donald Trump has a three-point lead over former Vice President Joe Biden in the swing state of Pennsylvania.
The study’s results found that Trump gained a three-point lead over Biden after Thursday night’s final presidential debate, with Trump and Biden at 48.4% and 45.5% respectively with a stated margin of error of plus or minus 4.9%. Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian Party’s nominee for president, got 3%. 3% of respondents said they were undecided.
The poll, conducted the night of October 25, surveyed 400 likely Pennsylvania voters via IVR and live cell phone interviews.
A previous poll that AG conducted between October 12 and 13 gave Biden a three-point lead in Pennsylvania but showed that lead narrowing.
For why they believe this change occurred, InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery offered some of his own analysis, however, he did not cite any sources to back up his claims.
“Since the debate Trump has picked up support from younger voters, who based on our prior survey strongly oppose future lockdowns over Covid-19 spikes,” Towery said.
Other demographic groups that Towery claimed were pivotal for Trump in this latest data shift were male voters, senior voters, and African Americans, whom Trump has been gaining further traction with.
Another reason that Towery points to is Biden’s recent statements regarding fracking.
“It would be nothing more than mere conjecture to attempt to correlate Biden’s statements on energy and fracking in the last debate contest with the shift towards Trump in this survey,” he wrote.
It’s important to note that fracking is an important issue for many Pennsylvanians, especially those in the western part of the state where both campaigns have been particularly directing their efforts. Trump has been a vocal advocate for fracking, while Biden has been broadly opposed to it, though Biden has not been consistent in specific views on the issue.
You can follow Douglas Braff on Twitter @Douglas_P_Braff.