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Pollster tells Mark Levin, Joe Biden’s victory was ‘not statistically impossible, but…statistically implausible’

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Patrick Basham, the Director of the Democracy Institute and a professional pollster, spoke with Mark Levin on Fox News’ “Life, Liberty and Levin” in an interview Sunday night about how President-elect Joe Biden’s victory was “statistically implausible.”

Basham studied three aspects to assess the “outcome” of the election as an independent-minded person- quasi results, non-polling metrics and how the vote ballots were accumulated and tabulated on election night and since.

Donald Trump improved his national performance over 2016 by almost 20%,” Basham said. “No incumbent president has ever lost a reelection bid if he’s increased his votes. Obama went down by three and a half million votes between 2008 and 2012, but still won comfortably.”

“Donald Trump did very well, even better, than four years earlier with the white working class, he held his own with women and suburban voters against most of the polling expectations. He did very well with Catholics and improved his vote among Jewish voters. He had the best minority performance for a republican since Richard Nixon in 1960. Doing so well with African-Americans and importantly, with Hispanics,” Basham noted.

Trump performed so well that Basham said if 100 independent, well-informed observers were given all the demographic and exit poll data and asked who they thought won the election, “99, at least out of those 100 independent, well-informed observers would say, well, obviously, Trump.”

“So, we know from the vote itself, the alleged vote, the alleged result, that something very strange has happened because the numbers just don’t add up. They don’t measure up to our polling that was conducted right up to the election,” Basham said. “Everything suddenly went very strange in the middle of the night. Now, that could happen it’s just very, very unusual.”

“[Biden] has apparently, allegedly, received more votes than any candidate for president in American history. And yet, he has done very, very poorly in most of the country, except where it absolutely mattered,” Basham added.

According to Basham, non-polling metrics include “party registration trends, how the candidates did in their respective presidential primaries, the number of individual donations, how much enthusiasm each candidate generated in the opinion polls.”

“These metrics have a 100% accuracy rate in terms of predicting the winner of the presidential election. In 2016, they all indicated strongly that Donald Trump would win against most of the public polling. That was again the case in 2020,” Basham said. “So if we are to accept that Biden won against the trend of all these non-polling metrics, it not only means that one of these metrics was inaccurate … for the first time ever, it means that each one of these metrics was wrong for the first time and at the same time as all of the others.”

Basham noted that while there was an increase in mail-in and absentee ballots for this year’s election, there was a “historically low ballot rejection rate for absentee and mail-in ballots.”

“Rejection rates in the primaries were well into the double digits and have historically been very, very high. In these key swing states, or at least in the key swing counties, we’re seeing rejection rates of less than 1%, often very close to 0. Now giving the increase in absentee balloting and the lack of experience that most of the new voters and those doing the counting would have with those ballots, it is implausible to put it politely, that that figure would be as low as it was.”

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GOP bill proposes extra measures to ensure noncitizens are unable to vote in federal elections

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GOP members of both the U.S. House and Senate introduced a bill to add safeguards to ensure that non U.S. citizens who are already prohibited from voting in federal elections, do not do so. The bill seeks to amend the National Voter Registration Act to require documentary proof of United States citizenship to register to vote.

The Center Square reports that It would require states to obtain proof of citizenship – in person – when registering an individual to vote. Applicants would have to provide proof of citizenship when they register to vote in person, when applying for a motor vehicle license, and when applying to vote by mail. The bill lists accepted citizenship documentation and requirements for voter registration agencies.

U.S. Rep. Chip Roy, R-Texas, led a coalition of 49 Republicans to introduce the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act in the U.S. House. U.S. Sen. Mike Lee of Utah, with several cosponsors, introduced the same bill in the Senate.

Citing the border crisis and the greatest number of foreign nationals illegally entering the country in U.S. history, the measure’s supporters expressed alarm that instead of being deported, many are being registered to vote.

“There is currently an unprecedented and a clear and present danger to the integrity of our election system,” House Speaker Mike Johnson said. “And that is the threat of non-citizens and illegal aliens voting in our elections. In the last five and a half months or so, I’ve been to over 101 cities doing events all around the country in more than half the states. The first or second question that I’m asked in every public forum is about election security. Americans are deeply concerned about this. And it doesn’t matter where you live or whether you’re in a blue state or a red state, everyone’s concerned.”

Johnson blamed President Joe Biden and his administration’s policies for for what he described as widespread concern about election integrity.

“… we now have so many non-citizens in the country that if only one out of 100 of those voted, they would cast hundreds of thousands of votes,” the speaker added. “And since our elections are so razor thin in these days that we’re in, just a few precincts in a few states decide the makeup of Congress and who is elected to the White House. This is a dangerously high number, and it’s a great concern to millions and millions of Americans. It could obviously change the outcome of our elections, and this is not an empty threat or concern.”

It is already a federal crime for non-citizens to vote in a federal election. Despite this, Johnson said, “no current mechanism to ensure only those registering or voting are actually citizens. … If a nefarious actor wants to intervene in our elections, all they have to do is check a box on a form and sign their name. That’s it. That’s all that’s required. And there’s a very small chance that illegal would get caught [because] states do not have the election infrastructure in place to confirm what they’ve said.”

Johnson said noncitizens “can simply go to their local welfare office or the DMV and register to vote there,” adding that “states are currently prohibited from asking someone to prove that they’re a citizen when they use the federal voter registration form.”

He also gave examples of “a growing number of localities” that are “blurring the lines for non-citizens by allowing them to vote in municipal local elections.

“You might not know this, but non-citizens are voting,” he warned Americans. “Democrats have expressed a desire to turn on citizens and voters. That’s what this open border has been all about.”

Roy said the proposed SAVE Act “would thwart Democrat efforts to cement one-party rule by upholding and strengthening current law that permits only U.S. citizens to vote in Federal elections.”

Lee said the bill should “pass right away” and unanimously in both houses of Congress. “The only reason to oppose this … would be if you want noncitizens to vote.”

It also would create a new program requiring the Department of Homeland Security and Social Security Administration to share information with state registration systems. States would be required to identify noncitizens attempting to register to vote by accessing data in DHS’ Systematic Alien Verification for Entitlements program and the SSA’s Social Security Number Verification Service. The information would be compared with data from state agencies that supply state identification cards or driver’s licenses.

The bill also would require states to remove non-citizens from existing voter rolls and increases federal penalties for those who register non-citizens to vote in federal elections.

 

 

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