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Pollster tells Mark Levin, Joe Biden’s victory was ‘not statistically impossible, but…statistically implausible’



patrick basham

Patrick Basham, the Director of the Democracy Institute and a professional pollster, spoke with Mark Levin on Fox News’ “Life, Liberty and Levin” in an interview Sunday night about how President-elect Joe Biden’s victory was “statistically implausible.”

Basham studied three aspects to assess the “outcome” of the election as an independent-minded person- quasi results, non-polling metrics and how the vote ballots were accumulated and tabulated on election night and since.

Donald Trump improved his national performance over 2016 by almost 20%,” Basham said. “No incumbent president has ever lost a reelection bid if he’s increased his votes. Obama went down by three and a half million votes between 2008 and 2012, but still won comfortably.”

“Donald Trump did very well, even better, than four years earlier with the white working class, he held his own with women and suburban voters against most of the polling expectations. He did very well with Catholics and improved his vote among Jewish voters. He had the best minority performance for a republican since Richard Nixon in 1960. Doing so well with African-Americans and importantly, with Hispanics,” Basham noted.

Trump performed so well that Basham said if 100 independent, well-informed observers were given all the demographic and exit poll data and asked who they thought won the election, “99, at least out of those 100 independent, well-informed observers would say, well, obviously, Trump.”

“So, we know from the vote itself, the alleged vote, the alleged result, that something very strange has happened because the numbers just don’t add up. They don’t measure up to our polling that was conducted right up to the election,” Basham said. “Everything suddenly went very strange in the middle of the night. Now, that could happen it’s just very, very unusual.”

“[Biden] has apparently, allegedly, received more votes than any candidate for president in American history. And yet, he has done very, very poorly in most of the country, except where it absolutely mattered,” Basham added.

According to Basham, non-polling metrics include “party registration trends, how the candidates did in their respective presidential primaries, the number of individual donations, how much enthusiasm each candidate generated in the opinion polls.”

“These metrics have a 100% accuracy rate in terms of predicting the winner of the presidential election. In 2016, they all indicated strongly that Donald Trump would win against most of the public polling. That was again the case in 2020,” Basham said. “So if we are to accept that Biden won against the trend of all these non-polling metrics, it not only means that one of these metrics was inaccurate … for the first time ever, it means that each one of these metrics was wrong for the first time and at the same time as all of the others.”

Basham noted that while there was an increase in mail-in and absentee ballots for this year’s election, there was a “historically low ballot rejection rate for absentee and mail-in ballots.”

“Rejection rates in the primaries were well into the double digits and have historically been very, very high. In these key swing states, or at least in the key swing counties, we’re seeing rejection rates of less than 1%, often very close to 0. Now giving the increase in absentee balloting and the lack of experience that most of the new voters and those doing the counting would have with those ballots, it is implausible to put it politely, that that figure would be as low as it was.”

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New York City Dems Push Law to Allow 800,000 Non-Citizens to Vote in Municipal Elections

The New York City Council will vote on December 9 on a law to allow green-card holders and residents with work permits to vote in municipal elections




New York’s Democratic party is battling over the constitutionality of voter laws. On December 9, the New York City Council will vote on a law to allow green-card holders and residents with work permits to vote in municipal elections.

“Around 808,000 New York City residents who have work permits or are lawful permanent residents would be eligible to vote under the legislation, which has the support of 34 of 51 council members, a veto-proof majority” reports Fox News.

“It’s important for the Democratic Party to look at New York City and see that when voting rights are being attacked, we are expanding voter participation,” Councilman Ydanis Rodriguez, a sponsor of the bill and Democrat who represents the Washington Heights neighborhood of Manhattan, told the New York Times. Rodriguez immigrated from the Dominican Republic and became a U.S. citizen in 2000.

Fox News reports:

Laura Wood, Chief Democracy Officer for the mayor’s office, said at a hearing on the bill in September that the law could violate the New York State Constitution, which states that voters must be U.S. citizens age 18 or older.

Mayor Bill de Blasio indicated he could veto the bill following the September hearing.
“We’ve done everything that we could possibly get our hands on to help immigrant New Yorkers—including undocumented folks—but…I don’t believe it is legal,” de Blasio told WNYC radio at the time.

Mayor-elect Eric Adams, however, submitted testimony to the September hearing in favor of the bill. “In a democracy, nothing is more fundamental than the right to vote and to say who represents you and your community in elected office…Currently, almost one million New Yorkers are denied this foundational right.”

The legislation was first introduced two years ago, but had not yet gained traction due to the legal concerns.

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