In North Dakota, a new poll was taken of likely voters after the allegations of sexual misconduct by Supreme Court Nominee Brett Kavanaugh became public which shows the incumbent Democrat Sen. Heidi Heitkamp down 10 points to challenger Rep. Kevin Cramer.  If this Democratic seat is lost in the mid-term elections, it would be very difficult for the Democrats to regain control of the Senate.

The poll, from Mason Dixon and North Dakota’s NBC affiliate, shows Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer ahead by 51 percent to 41 percent.  The poll also showed an overwhelming majority of support for the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court by 60 percent approval to only 27 percent disapprove.  The Kavanaugh nomination was the main concern and number one issue of likely North Dakota voters according to the poll.

With such support for the Supreme Court nomination, it may be hard for incumbent Heitkamp to vote against Kavanaugh without losing support of independents and moderate Republicans.  If the Democrats lose this seat, they would need to hold all other seats in red-leaning states, plus win in Arizona and Nevada, and also win in either Texas or Tennessee.

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