A narrow majority of voters are against the effort of President Donald Trump and the GOP-controlled Senate to fill the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s Supreme Court seat before Election Day, a new Monmouth University poll shows.
When asked about this specific seat on the court, 51 percent of voters opposed the move while 46 percent approved, Monday’s poll said. Though, voters are more split as to whether the Senate should, in general, appoint a Supreme Court justice right before a presidential election. Fifty-three percent of voters, however, believe that the Senate should nonetheless hold appointment hearings for President Trump’s nominee, Judge Amy Coney Barrett, while 43 percent are against this.
This poll presents a stark contrast to voters’ feelings in March 2016 about replacing the seat of the conservative Justice Antonin Scalia after his passing with then-President Barack Obama’s nominee, Judge Merrick Garland. According to a March 2016 Monmouth poll, “a full 69% of the public feel the Senate should hold hearings on the nomination [of Garland],” while “just 25% say that the Senate should not consider the nomination.”
The report added that: “Majorities of Democrats (85%), independents (66%), and Republicans (56%) alike say that Garland should get a hearing.”
Additionally, a massive reversal has occurred in how the two major parties’ voters feel today versus in 2016. According to Monday’s poll, “83% of Republicans say such a nomination should move forward today, although only 36% of GOP voters felt this way a little over four years ago when Barack Obama was president,” and that, “Likewise, just 16% of Democrats approve of considering a nominee now even though 74% felt that way in 2016.”
“Among independents,” says the poll, “48% say a nomination late in the president’s term should be considered, although this number is somewhat lower than independents felt four years ago (60%).”
While the survey was conducted before the president announced his Supreme Court nominee on Saturday, there was a general feeling in Washington that Judge Amy Coney Barret would ultimately be his pick for the land’s highest court. Thus the survey questioned voters about the then-likely nominee.
When asked about “their sense of the ideological views of Judge Amy Coney Barrett,” 49 percent of voters “think she is more of a conservative and only 5% think she is more of a moderate, while another 44% say they haven’t heard enough about her.”
With regards to Republican and Democratic voters, the poll found that 50 percent of Republicans and 55 percent of Democrats see Barrett as “conservative.” This compares to 2016, “when 25 percent of voters thought [Garland] was more of a moderate and just 12 percent thought he was more of a liberal, while 60 percent had not heard enough to judge,” according to the aforementioned March 2016 poll.
With Barrett only being 48 years old, her appointment to the Supreme Court would give conservatives a long-time advantage in the court’s rulings, since Supreme Court justices serve lifetime appointments. This will be the third conservative that Trump will have placed on the court, following the appointments of Judge Neil Gorsuch in 2017 and Judge Brett Kavanaugh in 2018.
With rising uncertainty about if the results will be contested, many are speculating that the upcoming presidential election might end up being decided again by the Supreme Court, just as it did in the 2000 election in the case Bush v. Gore. Thus there is a heightened urgency to place a ninth justice on the court in case the current eight justices are split fifty-fifty in deciding such a hypothetical case.
The Senate Judiciary Committee’s confirmation hearing for Barrett is expected to be held the week of October 12, CNN reports, according to multiple sources close to the planning of the hearing. This, according to them, means that the confirmation vote of the entire Senate could take place as early as October 29.
You can follow Douglas Braff on Twitter @Douglas_P_Braff.
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Biden’s Poor Polling and Harris’ Low Electability Rating Could Have Democrats Considering ‘Nuclear Option’
Behind-the-scenes discussion of how Democrats could arrive at a third option for the next election is underway
With polls consistently showing a poor approval rating for President Joe Biden at below 40 percent, and a recent poll put Kamala Harris’ electability at only 28 percent, Democrats are in full panic mode.
“Behind-the-scenes discussion of how Democrats could arrive at a third option for the next election is underway. Operatives are preparing for the possibility of a contested presidential primary in which other would-be nominees take on Ms. Harris, but that could be damaging for the party” reports the Telegraph.
Therefore, Democrats are allegedly whispering about a potential “nuclear option” that would call for current Vice President Harris to be nominated to the Supreme Court. The Telegraph writes that “while the scenario is highly improbable, and perhaps a reflection of a Washington rumor mill in overdrive, the fact it has come up at all shows the depths of the predicament the Biden administration currently finds itself in, amid rising inflation, a stalled domestic agenda, and foreign policy disasters.”
The theory in question would call for President Biden to nominate Harris to the Supreme Court in the event a seat opens in the next three years during his administration. Biden could then use “Section 2 of the 25thAmendment to nominate a more popular vice president”, adds the Telegraph.
Under Section 1 of the 25th Amendment, that new vice president could assume the presidency if Biden were to step down while president. They would then become the Democratic nominee in the 2024 presidential election. That same individual could also be the presumptive Democratic nominee in 2024 if Biden chooses not to run for re-election.
One piece of information that is wetting Democrats’ whistle is that current Supreme Court Justice Breyer has said he does not “want to stay on the Supreme Court until I die.”
The Telegraph notes that “the discussion over potential successors to Mr. Biden is highly unusual less than a year into an administration.”
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