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Military Officials: Russian attack on Ukraine will be ‘short, sharp and extremely deadly’

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If Russia invades Ukraine, the initial battle is expected to be “short, sharp and extremely deadly,” stated senior and retired military officials that spoke with SaraACarter.com. Moreover, those same officials believe any invasion will lead to a lingering Ukrainian-insurgency that will exacerbate and intensify a crisis for years to come, according to a top retired military commander who worked with NATO operations.

Retired Lt. Gen. Robert Wood spoke with Jerry Torres, a retired Special Forces military officer and currently an investigative documentary filmmaker working with SAC media. Wood contends Russian President Vladimir Putin is establishing his global presence by using extreme military maneuvers along the Belarus border with Ukraine which could trigger NATO ‘Article Five’ discussions between members.

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A local resident of the Ukrainian-controlled village of Stanytsia Luhanska, gestures as she cleans up debris from her home after the shelling by Russia-Backed separatists (Photo by ALEKSEY FILIPPOV/AFP via Getty Images)

Further, Russia’s move to place 150,000 plus troops along the border with Ukraine is just the beginning of a new conflict bearing all the hallmarks of a new cold war between the west and a new Russo-Putin empire, Wood said.

“We have two NATO nations that are really along the Black Sea, and they too, are going to be threatened – Bulgaria and Turkey,” said Wood, referring to Russia’s threat on Ukraine, which declared its independence from the former Soviet Union in 1991.

With regard to Putin, Wood told Torres, “I think right now, there’s a lot of demonstration and staging going on, that signals to NATO and signals to the world that Putin is back on the stage.”

He said Putin uses the attention to build his reputation at home and in the public.

“It demonstrates his power in the region,” Wood said. “And I think it has actually added to his ability to attract China as we’ve seen lately, to become a closer ally.”

Wood warned as well, that “it’s not just the Ukraine problem.”

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Wood added, “if there’s an offensive action against Ukraine, it will immediately threaten countries of NATO – it may not trigger Article Five, but it might, it might trigger a look at the Article Five provisions of the NATO compact that says an attack on one, is an attack on all.”

Wood told Torres “there’ll be a debate, it will be part of the discussion. And once again, that’s exactly what I think Putin wants to have. He wants to bring that to the top, force the discussion and play his hand. It’ll be interesting to see how that turns out.”

Wood warned that Ukraine’s second largest natural gas reserves, comparable to Norway in Europe, is also what Putin is eyeing. Wood said Putin “has enormous capacity to store gas and oil capabilities in Ukraine itself. It’s a prize in this world of energy and portance of energy. And for Russia in particular.”

He added, “Ukraine has these reserves and the storage capability that not only allow it to be a nation to stand on its own, but also to be a remarkable prize for Putin.”

Wood told Torres: “I think this conflict, if it starts, is going to be short, sharp and extremely deadly.”

“If you look at the nature of the systems, and the opposition of strengths and weaknesses to Ukraine forces, again I think it will be short, sharp and extremely bloody, but it’s not going to stop quickly,” he added. “I think there will be a counter-insurgency, or after the conventional stage – we’ll have guerilla war.”

A retired senior Military official familiar with the Eastern European region who spoke on condition of anonymity due to their work, stated that “while Russia has the capability of taking the major Ukrainian cities, an insurgency will form that will be highly effective in degrading Russian control and morale for years to come.”

“The Ukrainian people are tough. And having had a taste of freedom and Democracy, there is no doubt they, for the most part, do not want to return to Russian satellite nation,” the official added.

On Friday the Associated Press reported a humanitarian convoy was hit by shelling and ‘pro-Russian rebels’ were evacuating civilians from the area where conflict had escalated. There were also numerous news reports of a car bombing in Donetsk and other reports of shelling hitting an elementary school. There were no casualties as of yet, according to reports.

Moreover, the Kremlin has continued to flex its muscle with nuclear drills on the border, while U.S. and European leaders continue to search for diplomatic efforts to resolve the crisis.

Jerry Torres contributed to this story. 

You can follow Sara Carter on Twitter @SaraCarterDC

You can follow Jerry Torres on Twitter @JerryW_Torres 

 

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6 Comments

6 Comments

  1. Julia

    February 18, 2022 at 8:25 pm

    good one

  2. julia

    February 18, 2022 at 8:26 pm

    nice

  3. Steven

    February 19, 2022 at 1:13 pm

    If things go against Putin, he will go nuclear.
    He absolutely can’t afford to lose.
    Once he goes nuclear, breaks the glass in an offensive war, there will be no stopping him.
    This is the NATO nightmare.
    This will result in widespread nuclear proliferation, because countries will realize it’s the situation of every country for itself, you can’t depend on some other country to come and save you.
    Ukraine regrets now that it gave up nuclear weapons, with territorial guarantee signers of Russia, UK and US on the Budapest Memorandum of Assurances of 1994.
    We’ve seen those guarantees weren’t even worth a cup of coffee in a cheap diner.
    In fact, the guarantee by Russia is the greatest irony, Russia gobbling up Ukraine’s territory while the US was involved in financial issues, and the UK is just trying to survive as an entity rather than breaking up through separatist movements.

  4. Dennodogg

    February 20, 2022 at 9:24 am

    Anything that has to do with the Biden-Putin-Xi Triumvirate is suspect. Biden is the weak, compromised, runt of the litter that will be slapped around by the other two. They will allow him to ” talk tough” and even criticize them because they both know that he will still have to give them whatever they ask for. They are playing this Ukraine game to the max as I hear these US “officials” lying and sounding like imbeciles. I sometimes fear that we won’t make it to the November elections due to the damages already caused by biden’s duplicity, and the potential for even worse things that he will inflict on us all over the next 9 months.

  5. H Paul Cohen

    February 20, 2022 at 9:41 am

    This would be a great time for Turkey to step up and act like a NATO ally. They have actual skin in the game (unlike the U.S.) and need to start working with the west in a cooperative rather than in an adversarial manner.

  6. TellTheTruth-2

    February 20, 2022 at 2:16 pm

    Dear Senator Cotton … As I watched you on Maria Bartiromo, I wish you could have been more honest. First, Ukraine has been a SELF CREATED problem when Victoria, Fuck the EU, Nuland and George, Color Revolution, Soros OVERTHREW the pro Putin Ukraine Government and forced the Russian people in Crimea to join Russia, along with their warm water base at Sevastopol. Based on that, if President Putin (a Christian) takes Ukraine back to prevent NATO nuclear weapons from being deployed in Ukraine, it should be seen by Americans who KNOW HISTORY as a rejection of you (Bill Kristol) neoCON war mongers. Second, Covid-19 was/is a US created virus that Dr. Fauci and his evil friends FARMED OUT to the China Communist Party when President Obama BANNED “gain of function” research in the USA. Third, I did not see any pushback on Communism being employed in Canada because you and your neoCON warmongers want the same for the US. As the old saying goes, Senator Cotton, “Straighten Up and Fly Right”.

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China

REPORT: China has vast network of covert police stations around the world

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China has a vast network of covert police stations abroad, according to a recent report by Safeguard Defenders, an NGO that focuses on human rights violations in China and other Asian countries. These police stations serve consular functions, but are also used by China to crack down on what the CCP deems “illegal” activity of Chinese nationals abroad. The police stations include at least 38 run by the Fuzhou City police, and 22 run by the Qingtian City police. Cities housing these police stations include New York, Toronto (which has three stations), London (two), Paris (three), Buenos Aires, Rio De Janeiro, and Tokyo.

Key findings of the report are below.

“Persuaded to return”

According to China, China has “persuaded to return [to China]” 230,000 Chinese nationals living aboard from April 2021 to July 2022 alone to face charges of fraud and telecommunications fraud. A Yangxia police station set up in Mozambique, for example, persuaded a Chinese national to return to China after being accused of stealing money from his employer. Chinese authorities also put pressure on the accused family to convince the accused to surrender.

Roughly 54,000 Chinese nationals were persuaded to return from northern Myanmar alone, in the first nine months of 2021. In July 2022, the government of Wenchang City warned that its citizens living in northern Myanmar must check in with their local police stations or face multiple penalties including blocking their children from attending urban schools back in China. Similarly, in February 2022, the government of Liayang City stated that Chinese “illegally staying” in northern Myanmar must return or the bank accounts of their immediate family members could be frozen.

The Nine Forbidden Countries

China has claimed that nine countries contain serious levels of fraud and telecom fraud perpetrated by Chinese nationals. Since November 2021, China has declared that Chinese citizens living in these nine countries must return to China immediately unless they have an “emergency reason” or a “strict necessity” to travel or stay in those countries. Those countries are: Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines, the UAE, and Turkey. However, the report questions whether these countries are truly awash in such fraud, as most of China’s oversees police stations are in the West, and only one of the nine countries (Cambodia) has such a police station. Chinese staying in the nine forbidden countries, as well as threats to family members as stated above, creates a “guilt-by-association” atmosphere intended to repatriate the Chinese nationals.

Conclusion

According to the report, Chinese police stations abroad serve to bypass “bilateral extradition treaties or other mechanisms of judicial cooperation” to cooperate with CCP-linked NGOs which effectively “[sets] up an alternative policing and judicial system within third countries.” Instead of using international judicial cooperation, which establishes due process, the presumption of innocence, and the right to a fair trial, China uses the above “persuade-to-return” methods and transnational police stations to circumvent international law and coerce Chinese nationals to return to China for trials. These policies show the power of China’s long-arm oppression over its own subjects.

You can follow Steve Postal on Twitter @HebraicMosaic

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