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Military Officials: Russian attack on Ukraine will be ‘short, sharp and extremely deadly’

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If Russia invades Ukraine, the initial battle is expected to be “short, sharp and extremely deadly,” stated senior and retired military officials that spoke with SaraACarter.com. Moreover, those same officials believe any invasion will lead to a lingering Ukrainian-insurgency that will exacerbate and intensify a crisis for years to come, according to a top retired military commander who worked with NATO operations.

Retired Lt. Gen. Robert Wood spoke with Jerry Torres, a retired Special Forces military officer and currently an investigative documentary filmmaker working with SAC media. Wood contends Russian President Vladimir Putin is establishing his global presence by using extreme military maneuvers along the Belarus border with Ukraine which could trigger NATO ‘Article Five’ discussions between members.

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A local resident of the Ukrainian-controlled village of Stanytsia Luhanska, gestures as she cleans up debris from her home after the shelling by Russia-Backed separatists (Photo by ALEKSEY FILIPPOV/AFP via Getty Images)

Further, Russia’s move to place 150,000 plus troops along the border with Ukraine is just the beginning of a new conflict bearing all the hallmarks of a new cold war between the west and a new Russo-Putin empire, Wood said.

“We have two NATO nations that are really along the Black Sea, and they too, are going to be threatened – Bulgaria and Turkey,” said Wood, referring to Russia’s threat on Ukraine, which declared its independence from the former Soviet Union in 1991.

With regard to Putin, Wood told Torres, “I think right now, there’s a lot of demonstration and staging going on, that signals to NATO and signals to the world that Putin is back on the stage.”

He said Putin uses the attention to build his reputation at home and in the public.

“It demonstrates his power in the region,” Wood said. “And I think it has actually added to his ability to attract China as we’ve seen lately, to become a closer ally.”

Wood warned as well, that “it’s not just the Ukraine problem.”

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Wood added, “if there’s an offensive action against Ukraine, it will immediately threaten countries of NATO – it may not trigger Article Five, but it might, it might trigger a look at the Article Five provisions of the NATO compact that says an attack on one, is an attack on all.”

Wood told Torres “there’ll be a debate, it will be part of the discussion. And once again, that’s exactly what I think Putin wants to have. He wants to bring that to the top, force the discussion and play his hand. It’ll be interesting to see how that turns out.”

Wood warned that Ukraine’s second largest natural gas reserves, comparable to Norway in Europe, is also what Putin is eyeing. Wood said Putin “has enormous capacity to store gas and oil capabilities in Ukraine itself. It’s a prize in this world of energy and portance of energy. And for Russia in particular.”

He added, “Ukraine has these reserves and the storage capability that not only allow it to be a nation to stand on its own, but also to be a remarkable prize for Putin.”

Wood told Torres: “I think this conflict, if it starts, is going to be short, sharp and extremely deadly.”

“If you look at the nature of the systems, and the opposition of strengths and weaknesses to Ukraine forces, again I think it will be short, sharp and extremely bloody, but it’s not going to stop quickly,” he added. “I think there will be a counter-insurgency, or after the conventional stage – we’ll have guerilla war.”

A retired senior Military official familiar with the Eastern European region who spoke on condition of anonymity due to their work, stated that “while Russia has the capability of taking the major Ukrainian cities, an insurgency will form that will be highly effective in degrading Russian control and morale for years to come.”

“The Ukrainian people are tough. And having had a taste of freedom and Democracy, there is no doubt they, for the most part, do not want to return to Russian satellite nation,” the official added.

On Friday the Associated Press reported a humanitarian convoy was hit by shelling and ‘pro-Russian rebels’ were evacuating civilians from the area where conflict had escalated. There were also numerous news reports of a car bombing in Donetsk and other reports of shelling hitting an elementary school. There were no casualties as of yet, according to reports.

Moreover, the Kremlin has continued to flex its muscle with nuclear drills on the border, while U.S. and European leaders continue to search for diplomatic efforts to resolve the crisis.

Jerry Torres contributed to this story. 

You can follow Sara Carter on Twitter @SaraCarterDC

You can follow Jerry Torres on Twitter @JerryW_Torres 

 

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6 Comments

6 Comments

  1. Julia

    February 18, 2022 at 8:25 pm

    good one

  2. julia

    February 18, 2022 at 8:26 pm

    nice

  3. Steven

    February 19, 2022 at 1:13 pm

    If things go against Putin, he will go nuclear.
    He absolutely can’t afford to lose.
    Once he goes nuclear, breaks the glass in an offensive war, there will be no stopping him.
    This is the NATO nightmare.
    This will result in widespread nuclear proliferation, because countries will realize it’s the situation of every country for itself, you can’t depend on some other country to come and save you.
    Ukraine regrets now that it gave up nuclear weapons, with territorial guarantee signers of Russia, UK and US on the Budapest Memorandum of Assurances of 1994.
    We’ve seen those guarantees weren’t even worth a cup of coffee in a cheap diner.
    In fact, the guarantee by Russia is the greatest irony, Russia gobbling up Ukraine’s territory while the US was involved in financial issues, and the UK is just trying to survive as an entity rather than breaking up through separatist movements.

  4. Dennodogg

    February 20, 2022 at 9:24 am

    Anything that has to do with the Biden-Putin-Xi Triumvirate is suspect. Biden is the weak, compromised, runt of the litter that will be slapped around by the other two. They will allow him to ” talk tough” and even criticize them because they both know that he will still have to give them whatever they ask for. They are playing this Ukraine game to the max as I hear these US “officials” lying and sounding like imbeciles. I sometimes fear that we won’t make it to the November elections due to the damages already caused by biden’s duplicity, and the potential for even worse things that he will inflict on us all over the next 9 months.

  5. H Paul Cohen

    February 20, 2022 at 9:41 am

    This would be a great time for Turkey to step up and act like a NATO ally. They have actual skin in the game (unlike the U.S.) and need to start working with the west in a cooperative rather than in an adversarial manner.

  6. TellTheTruth-2

    February 20, 2022 at 2:16 pm

    Dear Senator Cotton … As I watched you on Maria Bartiromo, I wish you could have been more honest. First, Ukraine has been a SELF CREATED problem when Victoria, Fuck the EU, Nuland and George, Color Revolution, Soros OVERTHREW the pro Putin Ukraine Government and forced the Russian people in Crimea to join Russia, along with their warm water base at Sevastopol. Based on that, if President Putin (a Christian) takes Ukraine back to prevent NATO nuclear weapons from being deployed in Ukraine, it should be seen by Americans who KNOW HISTORY as a rejection of you (Bill Kristol) neoCON war mongers. Second, Covid-19 was/is a US created virus that Dr. Fauci and his evil friends FARMED OUT to the China Communist Party when President Obama BANNED “gain of function” research in the USA. Third, I did not see any pushback on Communism being employed in Canada because you and your neoCON warmongers want the same for the US. As the old saying goes, Senator Cotton, “Straighten Up and Fly Right”.

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Mayorkas Border Manifesto: Why the DHS Secretary must be impeached

If this isn’t a reason to impeach Mayorkas, I don’t know what is.

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Alejandro Mayorkas

Listen to “The Smoking Gun: The Mayorkas Memo Telling Border Patrol to Stop Doing Its Job” on Spreaker.

DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas issued a memorandum to top DHS officials on Sept 30, 2021, that set the stage for an open border policy that has resulted in the most dangerous national security situation the United States has ever confronted. That seven-page letter, written by Mayorkas and obtained by this columnist, is an open borders blueprint and reveals his purposeful failure to secure the southern border. Numerous retired and current DHS officials said it is sufficient enough for Congress to impeach him.

The Mayorkas policy, which has perpetuated a tsunami of people from all over the world to illegally enter the United States, is simplified and made clear in his memorandum. It is so direct that it is easy to see why the policy overrides almost all U.S. immigration laws by pushing all federal immigration agencies under DHS to exercise  “prosecutorial discretion” [ not the law ] to assess whether those who enter the country illegally should be given the right to stay, despite any criminal background or failure to qualify for asylum.

Some of the memo’s contents have been openly discussed by Mayorkas under questioning by lawmakers at hearings. Even parts of the policies have been exposed in reports but what makes this memo unique is that it is the roadmap the Biden Administration used to implement this failed open border policy that has become the biggest concern for most American voters.

And Mayorkas is the architect of the policy. It is a policy that fails to uphold the Constitution, and current immigration laws and turns Federal law enforcement officers and agents into de facto human traffickers.

“In exercising our discretion, we are guided by the fact that the majority of undocumented noncitizens who could be subject to removal have been contributing members of our communities for years,” states Mayorkas, as he goes on to list all the possible jobs illegal aliens are doing in the nation. “The fact an individual is removable noncitizen therefore should not alone be the basis of an enforcement action against them. We will use our discretion and focus our enforcement resources in a more targeted way.”

Those ‘targeted resources’ Mayorkas was referring to have mostly been directed at processing illegal migrants into the country and not deporting those breaking the law, according to lawmakers and DHS officials who spoke with me. I’ve documented for the past three years on both Fox News’ Sean Hannity and on SaraACarter.com the enormous resources used not to deport but to import illegal aliens into the country.

Rep. Andy Biggs, who is currently co-chair of the Border Security Caucus and the House Judiciary Committee, where he is the Chairman of the Judiciary Subcommittee on Crime and Federal Government Surveillance. told me Sunday that the memo in its entirety is Mayorka’s ideological push for open borders and it’s “his philosophy, cobbled together in place…the letter reflects his distorted thinking on border security.”

Mayorkas’ ‘distorted thinking’ has now led to calls for his impeachment. There are currently two articles of impeachment against Mayorkas. The articles charge him with “willful and systemic refusal to comply with the law” and a “breach of public trust.” This memo alone is evidence of that breach with the American public.

In the first article, the Republicans with the House Homeland Security Committee state that Mayorkas “has repeatedly violated laws enacted by Congress regarding immigration and border security…His refusal to obey the law is not only an offense against the separation of powers in the Constitution of the United States, it also threatens our national security and has had a dire impact on communities across the country.”

Republicans accused Mayorkas in the second impeachment article of “knowingly making false statements to Congress and the American people and avoiding lawful oversight to obscure the devastating consequences of his willful and systemic refusal to comply with the law and carry out his statutory duties.” And although the feckless Senate may not have the votes to make the impeachment stick, it will expose those Republicans who truly are open borders advocates from those who believe in the Constitution and the rule of law. It would require a two-thirds majority to convict and remove Mayorkas from office.

If there was ever a reason for impeachment, Mayorkas fits the bill. His impeachment will send a clear message to the Biden Administration and Senators on both sides of the aisle that gig is up and that our nation’s security must be the priority.

Mayorkas ushered in the administration’s expansive use of  “prosecutorial discretion”  that allowed our borders to become an open gateway for our adversaries, drug cartels, terrorists and people from all over the world, stated Joel Maldonado, a recently retired Border Patrol Supervisor, who spoke for the first time about the memo to me on, The Sara Carter Show podcast Sunday.

“When we are not upholding the law but being forced to commit treason it puts everyone at risk, it’s demoralizing and they are lying to the American people,” said Maldonado, who published his first book on his 28 years with the Border Patrol, A Binding Oath: A Border Patrol Journey and the Mayorkas Effect. 

Maldonado, who retired in March 2023, had never seen the Mayorkas memo until this year. He said it coincided with the policy his station in Texas had to abide by and a dangerous policy “that continues to this day.”

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Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images

“The memo itself is a smoking gun, it’s proof that the administration usurped the law with this prosecutorial discretion policy, along with so much more,’ he said. He described how he and other supervisors would put agents out on the border to conduct enforcement instead of using them all for processing illegal aliens into the country when directed to do so by DHS. He said “We would do this out of sight of Washington D.C. and DHS but then be scolded later if we increased our apprehensions. They wanted us to process and they didn’t care how many more people came in or what the consequences would be.”

The seven-page memo was emailed from Mayorkas to Director Tae Johnson, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement; Acting Commissioner Troy Miller, U.S. Customs and Border Protection; Director Ur Jaddou, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services; Robert Silvers, Under Secretary of Office of Strategy, Policy, and Plans; Katherine Culliton-Gonzalez, Officer for Civil Rights and Civil Liberties and Lynne Parker Dupree, Chief Privacy Officer with the Privacy Office.

Many areas of the memo are striking but one that stood out was the list of reasons and excuses that Mayorkas gives can be used when attempting to not deport illegal aliens that clearly present a danger to the nation or have violated U.S. law.

This memo “brings to the forefront the official policy of Alejandro Mayorkas to open wide our southern border,” Biggs stated, adding that he believes Congress has the votes to impeach the DHS Secretary.

One of the most stunning parts of the memo refers to the ‘threat to public safety.’  Mayorkas said those threats possibly posed by illegal aliens are ‘not to be determined according to bright lines or categories. Instead, it requires an assessment of the individual and the totality of the facts and circumstances.’

He lists reasons for enforcement action, such as, “sophistication of criminal offense, use or threatened use of a firearm or dangerous weapon, serious prior criminal record” but then follows with mitigating reasons as to what could constitute a reason not to deport them.

He states,  “There can be mitigating factors that militate in favor of declining enforcement action: 

  • advance or tender age
  • lengthy presence in the United States
  • a mental condition that may have contributed to the criminal conduct, or a physical or mental condition requiring care or treatment
  • Status as a victim of crime or victim, witness, or legal party in legal proceedings,
  • the impact of removal on family in the United States, such as loss of a provider or caregiver,
  • whether the noncitizen may be eligible for humanitarian protection or other immigration relief
  • military or other public service of the noncitizen or their immediate family;
  • time since an offense and evidence of rehabilitation;
  • conviction was vacated or expunged

Maldonado said the list of excuses to allow illegal criminals to stay “is basically a strict warning to supervisors” in Border Patrol, ICE and other agencies that deportation was no longer a priority. The priority was ensuring that those who came in illegally stayed in the country, regardless of status, asylum claims or failure to properly vet them for national security threats.

What’s more disturbing in the Mayorkas border manifesto – is not just how he ties the hands of federal agents and risks the national security of our nation – but how he exonerates himself and the Biden Administration from any possible repercussions due to a dangerous open border policy.

“The civil immigration enforcement does not compel an action to be taken or not taken. Instead, the guidance leaves the exercise of prosecutorial discretion to the judgment of our personnel,” Mayorkas states.

Maldonado, and numerous other retired and current Border Patrol supervisors and agents, told me this guidance gives the federal officials – including Mayorkas – cover,  by putting the onus on the federal law enforcement officers who are forced to process people into the nation, and not the administration’s policy.

One current ICE supervisor, who spoke on condition of anonymity, summed it up by saying, “It means if anything goes wrong – if there’s a terror attack or something of that magnitude because of what Mayorkas has done – it will be the poor BP agent or ICE officer that will be blamed…Even though we have been the ones forced to let in the criminals and terrorists because of Mayorkas’ policy.”

If that isn’t a reason to impeach Mayorkas, I don’t know what is.

Follow Sara A. Carter on X at @SaraCarterDC 

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