It all comes down to a few battleground states in one of the most important presidential elections in modern American political history. President Donald Trump won the beautiful state of Pennsylvania in 2016 and he’s poised to win it again if his base of support shows up today at the polls as expected by his campaign team.
Former Vice President Joe Biden spent his final days of campaigning in the ‘keystone state’ working to win it back for the Democrats but his announcement that his administration would phase out the oil and gas industry turned off many voters, whose livelihoods rely on the fracking industry. According to the Pennsylvania Department of Labor and Industry, roughly 20,000 to 50,000 people are employed in the state’s fracking industry.
The state, which went for Trump in 2016, has 20 very crucial electoral votes.
Erin Perrine told me on The Sara Carter Show on Monday that the enthusiasm for the President is going to spill out into the number of people voting on Election Day.
“That enthusiasm and the ground game to merry the enthusiasm for a candidate like President Trump – we built the greatest ground game and data operation in political history and what we have been able to do is find our voters see how they’re going to vote and now on Election Day, when it comes to that get out the vote effort we actually have the votes,” said Perrine. “We know where they are and who they are to get them turned out for President Trump and listen we’re projecting between 62 and 64 percent of votes (tomorrow) are going to go to President Trump.”
According to pollster FiveThirtyEight ranks it as the state most likely to “deliver the decisive vote” in the Electoral College, with a 36.5% chance. That’s extremely important in a race as tight as this with candidates literally campaigning until the last hour to get voters to the polls.
Other states chances of delivering a decisive vote, according to FiveThirtyEight.
Florida – 14.3%
Michigan with a 7.7%
In this poll, however, Biden is leading Trump in the polls by Tuesday morning but it’s not expected to last according to other polls that see Trump moving ahead on Election Day with supporters more likely to go to the polls in person.
And Pennsylvania is proving to be the most contentious and problematic state.
The President and his team warned on Tuesday that they would fight back with lawyers if they believe Tuesday’s election count is unfairly conducted.
“As soon as that election’s over, we’re going in with our lawyers,” said Trump during a rally in Hickory, North Carolina on Sunday. Trump pointed out that it it is unfair and concerning that Pennsylvania and other states are going to continue counting the ballots after Tuesday. There are at least five counties in Pennsylvania that said they will not be counting absentee and universal may-in ballots until the day after the election.
“I don’t think it’s fair that we have to wait for a long period of time after the election…it’s a terrible thing” said Trump.
You can follow Sara A Carter on Twitter @SaraCarterDC
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The Looming National Debt Crisis: The Uncomfortable Truth No One Wants to Discuss
As Republican candidates gather for a debate, the skeleton in the closet remains the ballooning national debt, a subject that’s largely been relegated to the shadows of political discourse.
While the candidates may briefly touch upon the issue and offer surface-level solutions, the uncomfortable truth is that addressing the national debt’s growing burden would require difficult, unpopular choices. Candidates find themselves in a precarious position, tasked with both solving the problem and securing votes, all within the constraints of a 90-second debate response.
Since surpassing the $33 trillion debt threshold, the United States has been accruing over $800 million in new debt every hour, adding more than $2 billion daily in interest payments. The most recent debt ceiling bill has suspended any cap on this debt until January 2025, casting a long shadow over the nation’s future freedom and prosperity.
Democrats have occasionally pointed to the “Trump Tax Cuts” as a driver of the deficit. However, the tax cuts did stimulate economic growth and resulted in record-high Treasury revenues, albeit without corresponding spending cuts.
One feasible solution begins with fixing the federal budget process, though it is by no means an easy task. Nonetheless, it would substantially rein in Congress’s control over the spending pie chart. A recent Heritage study revealed that only 10 percent of the $7.5 trillion in COVID-related spending actually went to healthcare. The remaining 90 percent, charged as overhead and other expenses, underscores the need for significant reform.
According to reports from Fox News, while the discretionary budget, including debt interest payments and defense spending, constitutes less than 25 percent of overall expenditures and continues to shrink, the true driver of federal deficits lies in mandatory, programmatic spending. These are expenditures Congress does not address annually but continues unabated.
Furthermore, they encompass popular transfer programs such as Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, student loans, and healthcare initiatives like Obamacare, among countless others. Altering these programs involves a political third rail, a risk few presidential candidates are willing to take.
Mandatory, programmatic expenditures are perpetual and don’t undergo annual scrutiny or adjustment. There is virtually no constituency for tackling these fundamental issues, despite their role as the primary drivers of the nation’s fiscal challenges.
Many citizens believe that trimming discretionary spending, such as congressional salaries or foreign aid, or rooting out “waste, fraud, and abuse,” can resolve the debt problem. While these are valid concerns, the real target for reform should be mandatory, programmatic spending to ensure the sustainability of essential programs.
The Republican candidates vying for the nomination face a daunting question: Who among them possesses the courage and leadership to make the unpopular decisions necessary to restore fiscal responsibility to the nation’s future?
On the other side of the aisle, Democrats seem unlikely to embrace responsible spending as part of their agenda, leaving the issue largely unaddressed in their political DNA.
In a political landscape dominated by divisive issues and partisan debates, the national debt looms as the silent crisis that few are willing to confront.
The path to fiscal responsibility requires acknowledging the harsh reality that popular programs must also be on the table for reform. Only then can America hope to secure a stable financial future for its citizens.
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