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Biden administration marches blindly to disastrous Iran deal

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Iran nuclear weapons program

The Biden administration is marching blindly to a nuclear deal with Iran, with some experts believing that a deal is imminent. There are several reasons why such a deal would likely be a disaster.

The Deal will Not Stop Iran from Getting A Bomb

While the White House’s stated goal is preventing Iran from ever acquiring a nuclear weapon, Robert Malley, the US Special Envoy to Iran, acknowledges that the Iran deal will allow Iran to get a nuclear bomb by 2031. Malley’s assessment is echoed by both Israel’s Defense Minister Benny Gantz, and a letter from over 5,000 senior Israeli military officials to President Biden. So, what is the point of the deal if Iran can still get a bomb?

Statements from Iran itself should make it clear that Iran has malicious intent. An adviser to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei recently admitted that Iran has the “technical capability” to make a nuclear bomb, which is the opposite to Iran’s long-held posture that its nuclear ambitions are for peaceful purposes only. And a video posted in two telegram channels linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps stated that Iran’s ballistic missiles can turn “New York into hellish ruins.” So, why should we believe that this deal will bring peace with Iran?

The Deal Would Further Erode Nuclear Nonproliferation

A nuclear Iran would result in “Egypt, Saudi Arabia and other Sunni states” to seek nuclear capabilities to counter Iran, according to the Israeli letter. And this is a valid concern. In 2020 there were reports that China may be building a nuclear processing facility in Saudi Arabia to assist the latter in producing yellowcake.

Saudi Arabia has invested heavily in Pakistan’s nuclear program, and can order nuclear weapons from that country if it so chooses, according to a BBC article from 2013.  The article sites Amos Yadlin, who is a former head of IDF Military Intelligence, as stating that in response to Iran becoming a nuclear power, “the Saudis will not wait one month. They already paid for the bomb, they will go to Pakistan and bring what they need to bring.” And South Korea and Russia have just signed a $2.25 billion deal to construct a nuclear power plant for Egypt. The UAE’s first nuclear power plant has been hooked up to its electric grid since 2020. Iran has threatened the UAE multiple times, and funds attacks on the UAE through Iran’s proxies. It seems that Saudi Arabia, Egypt and the UAE would seek to develop nuclear weapons if Iran does so.

The Deal Would Unfreeze Funds that Will be Used for Terror

The Iran deal will unfreeze funds that Iran will then use to finance terrorism all over the world, according to the Israeli letter. A letter from House Republicans and Democrats to President Biden estimates the total value of such sanctions relief to be $1 trillion over 10 years, and similarly estimates that these funds will allow Iran to “be an enormous danger to Americans at home and abroad, and to our allies.”

The Deal Creates a Windfall to Russia

 And lastly, Russia will get a windfall in this deal, according to the House letter. Under the deal, Russia will be able to enrich Iran’s uranium. Russia will also be the judge of Iran’s compliance with the deal, and the US and Europe would not have such a right. Further, Russia will get at least $10 billion (presumably from Iran) to build Iran’s nuclear infrastructure.

The nuclear deal with Iran as currently imagined will result in a huge foreign policy loss for the United States. The deal will not stop Iran from getting a bomb, would erode nuclear containment in the region, would give significant funds to Iran to in turn finance terror worldwide, and would greatly advantage Russia. But despite these glaring flaws, the Biden administration continues to pursue this disastrous deal.

You can follow Steve Postal on Twitter @HebraicMosaic

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China

REPORT: China has vast network of covert police stations around the world

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ChineseFemaleMiitary 652840318

China has a vast network of covert police stations abroad, according to a recent report by Safeguard Defenders, an NGO that focuses on human rights violations in China and other Asian countries. These police stations serve consular functions, but are also used by China to crack down on what the CCP deems “illegal” activity of Chinese nationals abroad. The police stations include at least 38 run by the Fuzhou City police, and 22 run by the Qingtian City police. Cities housing these police stations include New York, Toronto (which has three stations), London (two), Paris (three), Buenos Aires, Rio De Janeiro, and Tokyo.

Key findings of the report are below.

“Persuaded to return”

According to China, China has “persuaded to return [to China]” 230,000 Chinese nationals living aboard from April 2021 to July 2022 alone to face charges of fraud and telecommunications fraud. A Yangxia police station set up in Mozambique, for example, persuaded a Chinese national to return to China after being accused of stealing money from his employer. Chinese authorities also put pressure on the accused family to convince the accused to surrender.

Roughly 54,000 Chinese nationals were persuaded to return from northern Myanmar alone, in the first nine months of 2021. In July 2022, the government of Wenchang City warned that its citizens living in northern Myanmar must check in with their local police stations or face multiple penalties including blocking their children from attending urban schools back in China. Similarly, in February 2022, the government of Liayang City stated that Chinese “illegally staying” in northern Myanmar must return or the bank accounts of their immediate family members could be frozen.

The Nine Forbidden Countries

China has claimed that nine countries contain serious levels of fraud and telecom fraud perpetrated by Chinese nationals. Since November 2021, China has declared that Chinese citizens living in these nine countries must return to China immediately unless they have an “emergency reason” or a “strict necessity” to travel or stay in those countries. Those countries are: Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines, the UAE, and Turkey. However, the report questions whether these countries are truly awash in such fraud, as most of China’s oversees police stations are in the West, and only one of the nine countries (Cambodia) has such a police station. Chinese staying in the nine forbidden countries, as well as threats to family members as stated above, creates a “guilt-by-association” atmosphere intended to repatriate the Chinese nationals.

Conclusion

According to the report, Chinese police stations abroad serve to bypass “bilateral extradition treaties or other mechanisms of judicial cooperation” to cooperate with CCP-linked NGOs which effectively “[sets] up an alternative policing and judicial system within third countries.” Instead of using international judicial cooperation, which establishes due process, the presumption of innocence, and the right to a fair trial, China uses the above “persuade-to-return” methods and transnational police stations to circumvent international law and coerce Chinese nationals to return to China for trials. These policies show the power of China’s long-arm oppression over its own subjects.

You can follow Steve Postal on Twitter @HebraicMosaic

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